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Dorfman estimates Douglas could pull in between $1 million to $3 million a year in endorsements leading up to the games in Rio de Janeiro four years from now. But even if Douglas doesn't compete in 2016, her endorsement career could continue far many years -- or even decades -- to come.In this particular event, there's proven to be a long shelf life," said Matt Fleming, senior account manager for The Marketing Arm, which arranges endorsement deals between athletes and advertisers.
Just look at Mary Lou Retton. She appeared on a box of Wheaties earlier this year -- 28 years after she became the first American to win the all-around gold medal in women's gymnastics.Wheaties maker General Mills (GIS, Fortune 500) said it had no comment on its post-Olympics plans. The cereal company typically features U.S. stars on boxes of Wheaties. Two years ago, General Mills had Lindsey Vonn, Shaun White and Seth Wescott appear on Wheaties boxes after they won gold medals at the Winter Olympics in Vancouver.But the fact that Phelps has said he plans to retire from competitive swimming after the Olympics will limit his endorsement potential going forward, according to experts. Phelps' American rival Ryan Lochte, who beat Phelps head-to-head in an early event during these games but settled for the silver against him on Thursday, will probably be seen in more commercials, experts said. After all, Phelps reached his peak in terms of popularity after he won eight gold medals in Beijing in 2008.
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